Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 107.264423 122.808798 140.706402 163.044041 190.469258 223.431963 2.666527e+02
2025-03-23 88.054258 108.189439 133.802915 169.587045 219.669943 289.552426 3.989219e+02
2025-03-30 73.699296 94.347823 122.219672 163.995713 227.721657 326.419592 5.029912e+02
2025-04-06 65.829645 87.121732 117.299503 165.317444 244.354410 379.201604 6.546005e+02
2025-04-13 59.427488 80.742330 112.156305 164.660917 256.862609 428.297848 8.251675e+02
2025-04-20 56.172094 78.348282 112.348737 172.147562 284.688236 515.035560 1.134317e+03
2025-04-27 54.439244 77.924194 115.381664 184.794825 325.384926 645.591530 1.676322e+03
2025-05-04 50.454962 73.453710 111.104413 183.378298 337.422040 716.535444 2.121734e+03
2025-05-11 47.572536 70.423418 108.814747 185.186594 356.807528 815.939726 2.819682e+03
2025-05-18 44.394031 66.573794 104.599506 182.413963 364.940831 888.731968 3.538877e+03
2025-05-25 42.286066 64.322020 102.958281 184.577492 385.703833 1013.169970 4.855271e+03
2025-06-01 39.995429 61.543715 100.022726 183.477461 397.876751 1117.592850 6.408006e+03
2025-06-08 37.141380 57.764273 95.222214 178.498438 401.157897 1204.937000 8.408170e+03
2025-06-15 35.887265 56.753934 95.685792 185.743930 442.878247 1494.778117 1.542934e+04
2025-06-22 33.377819 53.230988 90.779145 179.427399 441.436369 1589.707241 2.111353e+04
2025-06-29 31.889979 51.462087 89.196397 180.920536 466.026225 1853.196667 3.856682e+04
2025-07-06 30.344957 49.453159 86.891254 180.178760 483.112781 2104.103681 7.252345e+04
2025-07-13 29.710534 49.114677 88.036428 188.645197 537.806280 2715.148964 2.918409e+05
2025-07-20 29.530462 49.630830 91.072360 202.984833 624.584820 3852.708684 1.452321e+07
2025-07-27 28.206716 47.775829 88.650139 201.376480 643.631336 4420.744305 NaN
2025-08-03 27.235168 46.554543 87.533411 203.429756 681.255570 5382.506206 NaN
2025-08-10 26.009973 44.732272 84.856009 200.281879 692.730209 6064.588291 NaN
2025-08-17 25.214249 43.737438 84.016597 202.738033 735.097099 7546.115052 NaN